by Andrew KORYBKO
The top five geostrategic trends that were identified in this analysis are also importantly occurring within the ongoing ‘Great Reset’/’Fourth Industrial Revolution’ (GR/4IR), the full-spectrum paradigm-changing processes of which were accelerated by the international community’s uncoordinated efforts to contain COVID-19 (‘World War C’), which even Russia has embraced to a certain extent in line with its own interests as its leadership understands them to be.
US President Joe Biden declared on Monday that “There’s going to be a new world order out there, and we’ve got to lead it, and we’ve got to unite the rest of the free world in doing it.” Up until this point, the very phrase “New World Order” (NWO) was treated as a so-called “conspiracy theory” and ruthlessly suppressed in the Mainstream Media (MSM) discourse despite former US President George H. W. Bush having been responsible for introducing this concept around the end of the Old Cold War. Nevertheless, now that Biden publicly uttered that phrase, it’s no longer “politically incorrect” to discuss it. In fact, it might even become part of the official MSM narrative in the coming future. What the present piece aims to do is identify the top five geostrategic trends of the NWO and predict their future trajectory.
1. The US-Led Western Bloc Has Consolidated
The unprecedented and preplanned reaction of the US-led West to Russia’s ongoing special military operation in Ukraine served to consolidate this bloc under America’s hegemony. The EU sacrificed its strategic sovereignty to its transatlantic patron under the pretext of “defending against the Russian threat” despite this leading to enormous self-inflicted economic consequences. That outcome will be exploited by the Anglo-American Axis (AAA) to drive their companies’ competitors out of business, buy up some of those that remain, and permanently handicap the bloc’s comprehensive competitiveness in the coming future. The hegemonic model being actively implemented by the US nowadays can also eventually be employed to curtail and ultimately cut off Chinese-EU relations too.
2. Russia Will Accelerate Its Grand Strategic Reorientation
The Eurasian Great Power has been reorientating its grand strategic focus to the Global South since the initial onset of the US-led West’s sanctions in 2014 but will accelerate this trend since it literally has no alternative anymore. To its credit, though, Russia made impressive strides all across the non-West in the past eight years. In brief, it coordinates with China as dual engines of the emerging Multipolar World Order (MWO); relies on a combination of its Ummah Pivot with majority-Muslim countries like Pakistan and its reaffirmed strategic partnership with envisioned Neo-NAM co-leader India to preemptively avert disproportionate dependence on the People’s Republic; became the kingmaker of West Asian affairs due to its irreplaceable role in Syria; and is rapidly expanding its influence in Africa and Latin America too.
3. Neutrality Has Been Reborn
The fact that the vast majority of the international community has refused to sanction Russia despite immense American pressure to do so speaks to their desire to remain neutral in the New Cold War’s Western Eurasian theater between Russia and the US. Major countries like China, India, Iran, and Pakistan also didn’t vote against Russia at the UNGA, nor did quite a few African countries either. The rebirth of principled neutrality in International Relations, which will also predicably be practiced once the Eastern Eurasian theater of the New Cold War between America and China inevitably heats up along the lines of the Western Eurasian model with Russia, proves that the US is no longer capable of unilaterally exerting its will onto all others like during the 1990s and early 2000s.
4. Non-Western Alternatives Will Be Prioritized
The weaponization of Western platforms and systems against Russia as part of the US’ full-spectrum Hybrid War against it will incentivize the rest of the world that’s still outside America’s newly formalized “sphere of influence” (i.e. non-Western countries) to prioritize the rapid development of non-Western alternatives. That’s because they rightly fear that they might end up becoming “the next Russia” if they continue independently asserting their national interests and remaining strategically autonomous. The long-term effect of this trend is that the US’ dominance over platforms, systems, and standards will inevitably disappear, which could in turn provoke it to initiate the “Balkanization” of the hitherto largely globalized international system before this happens in a desperate attempt to weaponize the chaos.
5. The Ideological-Systemic Dimensions Of The New Cold War
The final trend becomes self-evident from the four abovementioned ones and that’s the indisputable division of the world into the US-led West’s “Golden Billion” and the non-West’s Global South that are vying to reassert America’s declining unipolar hegemony over International Relations or to finally implement the MWO that was enshrined in the UN Charter but which never had a chance to enter into practice due to the Old Cold War then the brief “unipolar moment”. At present, the transitional world order can be described as bi-multipolar according to the model introduced by Sanjaya Baru, which places the American and Chinese superpowers at the top of the system followed by Great Powers then comparatively smaller countries, but it’s uncertain what its future form will be.
The top five geostrategic trends that were identified in this analysis are also importantly occurring within the ongoing “Great Reset”/”Fourth Industrial Revolution” (GR/4IR), the full-spectrum paradigm-changing processes of which were accelerated by the international community’s uncoordinated efforts to contain COVID-19 (“World War C”), which even Russia has embraced to a certain extent in line with its own interests as its leadership understands them to be. Observers shouldn’t forget about this socio-economic context despite geopolitical and military matters taking precedence in the public’s consciousness nowadays. Altogether, these factors will reshape everything about the world and thus arguably constitute the core of the NWO that Biden spoke about earlier this week.
Source: One World